Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.070543 0.082112 0.094904 0.110087 0.127607 0.147179 0.170694
2024-10-20 0.050585 0.065275 0.083169 0.106526 0.136168 0.172492 0.220348
2024-10-27 0.038651 0.054189 0.074642 0.103442 0.142857 0.194807 0.268377
2024-11-03 0.032408 0.048688 0.071544 0.105814 0.155718 0.225540 0.330427
2024-11-10 0.028545 0.045531 0.070742 0.110641 0.171919 0.262135 0.404631
2024-11-17 0.025021 0.042122 0.068805 0.113128 0.184510 0.294476 0.476069
2024-11-24 0.021801 0.038571 0.065968 0.113540 0.193553 0.322006 0.542879
2024-12-01 0.019033 0.035270 0.062956 0.113050 0.200759 0.347031 0.608079
2024-12-08 0.016605 0.032146 0.059735 0.111624 0.205961 0.368983 0.670203
2024-12-15 0.015298 0.030838 0.059468 0.115263 0.220264 0.407718 0.765230
2024-12-22 0.014111 0.029561 0.059048 0.118486 0.234057 0.446823 0.864914
2024-12-29 0.013163 0.028600 0.059067 0.122476 0.249630 0.490600 0.977609
2025-01-05 0.012197 0.027495 0.058719 0.125822 0.264604 0.535327 1.098012
2025-01-12 0.010658 0.024946 0.055126 0.122134 0.265131 0.552369 1.166533
2025-01-19 0.009355 0.022712 0.051878 0.118714 0.265726 0.569486 1.236927
2025-01-26 0.008710 0.021873 0.051515 0.121452 0.279637 0.615080 1.370822
2025-02-02 0.008330 0.021599 0.052364 0.126975 0.300228 0.676708 1.545085
2025-02-09 0.007796 0.020870 0.052067 0.129818 0.315112 0.727573 1.701231
2025-02-16 0.007168 0.019805 0.050836 0.130289 0.324566 0.767423 1.836970
2025-02-23 0.006547 0.018664 0.049267 0.129730 0.331493 0.802241 1.964795
2025-03-02 0.005938 0.017457 0.047370 0.128101 0.335614 0.830967 2.081345
2025-03-09 0.005669 0.017146 0.047724 0.132258 0.354543 0.896387 2.291794
2025-03-16 0.005395 0.016782 0.047889 0.135939 0.372676 0.961675 2.508457